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Verification register Energy, Climate, Space & Materials

Readiness verdict

ML-Discovered Kagome Superconductors (YRu3B2 / LuRu3B2)

A dated reading of what is claimed, reported, and independently verified in the current evidence.

As of
2026-07-21
Revision
1
Method
v1.3.0

Current reading

Readiness band and full integer triple

AI-assisted assembly · derived results

Readiness band

Unknown

Primary summary from verified readiness

Confidence
56% · fresh
Computed at
2026-07-21T07:36:41.296877+00:00
Claimed
12

Public ambition and stated capability

Reported
10

Observed practitioner reporting

Verified
6

Independently supported evidence

Gap
+6

Claimed leads verified

Evidence strength Growing

Decision

What the current evidence supports

Human editorial judgment · 2026-07-21

Track; not yet

Why
Independent replication by three separate labs (Rice, Gdansk/Princeton, Tokyo/RIKEN) within months genuinely validates the ML+DFT+synthesis discovery pipeline as a working method, but every confirmed critical temperature is sub-1K and the predicted-vs-measured Tc mismatch signals the screening model still needs tightening before it can be trusted to prioritize search at scale -- not yet an actionable technology, just a credible methodology proof point.
Next
Re-check in 2-3 quarters for: (a) any ML-discovered kagome compound exceeding LaRu3Si2's 7K Tc benchmark, (b) narrowing of the >3x ML-predicted-vs-measured Tc gap seen in the Gdansk/Princeton replication, (c) movement from sub-Kelvin boride kagome systems toward device-relevant materials or applications.

Constraints

Blockers

No named blocker is present in the current public projection.

Evidence summary

Derived counts

AI-assisted assembly

Total
4
Tier 1
0
Tier 2
1
Tier 3
3
Supports
2
Contradicts
1
Context
1
Latest observed
2026-07-07

Counts and dates only. Raw signals, private excerpts, trust records, and internal corpus material are not published here.

Publication record

Revisions

Initial public reading

  1. 2026-07-21 Reading moved from unknown to unknown.

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