Verification register Energy, Climate, Space & Materials
Current reading
Readiness band and full integer triple
AI-assisted assembly · derived results
Readiness band
Watch
Primary summary from verified readiness
- Confidence
- 82% · fresh
- Computed at
- 2026-10-29T16:46:09.226524+00:00
- Claimed
- 40
- Reported
- 39
- Verified
- 35
- Gap
- +5
Public ambition and stated capability
Observed practitioner reporting
Independently supported evidence
Claimed leads verified
Evidence strength Strong
Decision
What the current evidence supports
Human editorial judgment · 2026-10-29
Track; not yet
- Why
- The Nature Energy paper reports a measured 0.83 MWh/t at pilot-stack scale, below the roughly 1.7 MWh/t average of real-world DAC energy estimates cited by an independent Energy Analytics brief (which puts likely full-system requirements at 1.8-3.6 MWh/t), with 5,000 h lab durability and a pressure drop meeting the 300 Pa DAC requirement. However, the stack test lasted only 48 h, the sub-US$100/t cost is a learning-rate-based pathway rather than a demonstrated cost, and the commercial path runs through licensees (Versogen, RepAir) whose founders and employees are among the authors. Promising but unproven at scale and over long duration.
- Next
- Watch for RepAir's multi-month pilot data and first commercial or storage-linked deployments, independent replication of the 0.83 MWh/t figure, and measured cost per tonne at stack scale.
Constraints
Blockers
No named blocker is present in the current public projection.
Evidence summary
Derived counts
AI-assisted assembly
- Total
- 7
- Tier 1
- 3
- Tier 2
- 4
- Tier 3
- 0
- Supports
- 2
- Contradicts
- 1
- Context
- 4
- Latest observed
- 2026-10-28
Counts and dates only. Raw signals, private excerpts, trust records, and internal corpus material are not published here.
Publication record
Revisions
Initial public reading
- 2026-10-29 Initial recorded band: watch.