Verification register Energy, Climate, Space & Materials
Current reading
Readiness band and full integer triple
AI-assisted assembly · derived results
Readiness band
Watch
Primary summary from verified readiness
- Confidence
- 78% · stale
- Computed at
- 2026-08-20T10:54:41.922717+00:00
- Claimed
- 40
- Reported
- 40
- Verified
- 36
- Gap
- +4
Public ambition and stated capability
Observed practitioner reporting
Independently supported evidence
Claimed leads verified
Evidence strength Strong
Decision
What the current evidence supports
Human editorial judgment · 2026-08-20
Too early to adopt
- Why
- Compelling thesis and credible backers (Khosla, Aramco Ventures, Mitsubishi Heavy, TDK; Frontier/Stripe/Alphabet/Shopify/Meta pre-purchases) but the headline numbers are forward-looking marketing — the validating pilot has not yet operated and the gap from a 1,000 t/yr pilot to a 2 Mt/yr facility is ~2,000x.
- Next
- Wait for the early-2026 New Mexico 1,000 t/yr pilot to publish independently verified capture rate, sorbent durability, energy/ton and cost/ton before giving any weight to the Orchard One megaton + $100/ton claims
Constraints
Blockers
No named blocker is present in the current public projection.
Evidence summary
Derived counts
AI-assisted assembly
- Total
- 12
- Tier 1
- 0
- Tier 2
- 8
- Tier 3
- 4
- Supports
- 6
- Contradicts
- 2
- Context
- 4
- Latest observed
- 2025-11-12
Counts and dates only. Raw signals, private excerpts, trust records, and internal corpus material are not published here.
Publication record
Revisions
Initial public reading
- 2026-07-19 Reading moved from watch to watch.