Verification register Energy, Climate, Space & Materials
Current reading
The readiness gap, in one scan
AI-assisted assembly · derived results
- Claimed
- 40
- Reported
- 40
- Verified
- 36
- Gap
- +4
Public ambition and stated capability
Observed practitioner reporting
Independently supported evidence
Claimed minus verified
Evidence strength Strong
Decision
What the current evidence supports
Human editorial judgment · 2026-06-28
Too early to adopt
- Why
- Compelling thesis and credible backers (Khosla, Aramco Ventures, Mitsubishi Heavy, TDK; Frontier/Stripe/Alphabet/Shopify/Meta pre-purchases) but the headline numbers are forward-looking marketing — the validating pilot has not yet operated and the gap from a 1,000 t/yr pilot to a 2 Mt/yr facility is ~2,000x.
- Next
- Wait for the early-2026 New Mexico 1,000 t/yr pilot to publish independently verified capture rate, sorbent durability, energy/ton and cost/ton before giving any weight to the Orchard One megaton + $100/ton claims
Constraints
Blockers
No named blocker is present in the current public projection.
Evidence summary
Derived counts
AI-assisted assembly
- Total
- 6
- Tier 1
- 0
- Tier 2
- 4
- Tier 3
- 2
- Supports
- 3
- Contradicts
- 1
- Context
- 2
- Latest observed
- 2025-11-12
Counts and dates only. Raw signals, private excerpts, trust records, and internal corpus material are not published here.
Publication record
Revisions
Initial public reading
This is the initial public reading. No earlier readiness change is recorded.