Verification register Energy, Climate, Space & Materials
Current reading
The readiness gap, in one scan
AI-assisted assembly · derived results
- Claimed
- 35
- Reported
- 30
- Verified
- 26
- Gap
- +9
Public ambition and stated capability
Observed practitioner reporting
Independently supported evidence
Claimed minus verified
Evidence strength Growing
Decision
What the current evidence supports
Human editorial judgment · 2026-06-28
Too early to adopt
- Why
- A genuine first-of-its-kind milestone (lab cm to field 100 m in granite), but it is two-plus orders of magnitude short of the ~20 km commercial-depth target and lacks directional drilling, reservoir/durability, and cost validation — clearly pre-commercial
- Next
- Watch for the 1 MW gyrotron test, first directional/non-vertical bore, and any kilometer-scale depth at hot, hard rock before reassessing; revisit at the 2028 pilot-plant milestone
Constraints
Blockers
No named blocker is present in the current public projection.
Evidence summary
Derived counts
AI-assisted assembly
- Total
- 6
- Tier 1
- 0
- Tier 2
- 4
- Tier 3
- 2
- Supports
- 1
- Contradicts
- 3
- Context
- 2
- Latest observed
- 2025-07-22
Counts and dates only. Raw signals, private excerpts, trust records, and internal corpus material are not published here.
Publication record
Revisions
Initial public reading
This is the initial public reading. No earlier readiness change is recorded.