Verification register Energy, Climate, Space & Materials
Current reading
Readiness band and full integer triple
AI-assisted assembly · derived results
Readiness band
Emerging
Primary summary from verified readiness
- Confidence
- 66% · stale
- Computed at
- 2026-08-20T10:53:46.143545+00:00
- Claimed
- 35
- Reported
- 30
- Verified
- 26
- Gap
- +9
Public ambition and stated capability
Observed practitioner reporting
Independently supported evidence
Claimed leads verified
Evidence strength Growing
Decision
What the current evidence supports
Human editorial judgment · 2026-08-20
Too early to adopt
- Why
- A genuine first-of-its-kind milestone (lab cm to field 100 m in granite), but it is two-plus orders of magnitude short of the ~20 km commercial-depth target and lacks directional drilling, reservoir/durability, and cost validation — clearly pre-commercial
- Next
- Watch for the 1 MW gyrotron test, first directional/non-vertical bore, and any kilometer-scale depth at hot, hard rock before reassessing; revisit at the 2028 pilot-plant milestone
Constraints
Blockers
No named blocker is present in the current public projection.
Evidence summary
Derived counts
AI-assisted assembly
- Total
- 11
- Tier 1
- 0
- Tier 2
- 8
- Tier 3
- 3
- Supports
- 2
- Contradicts
- 6
- Context
- 3
- Latest observed
- 2025-07-22
Counts and dates only. Raw signals, private excerpts, trust records, and internal corpus material are not published here.
Publication record
Revisions
Initial public reading
- 2026-07-19 Reading moved from emerging to emerging.