Verification register Energy, Climate, Space & Materials
Current reading
The readiness gap, in one scan
AI-assisted assembly · derived results
- Claimed
- 85
- Reported
- 73
- Verified
- 59
- Gap
- +26
Public ambition and stated capability
Observed practitioner reporting
Independently supported evidence
Claimed minus verified
Evidence strength Strong
Decision
What the current evidence supports
Human editorial judgment · 2026-06-28
Proceed with caution
- Why
- The cost/cadence story (up to 24 updates/day, ~0.25 kWh/inference, $0.20-$15/run) is genuinely attractive and the API is live, but the accuracy claims are entirely self-reported and independent literature flags exactly the extreme-event weakness that would hurt energy use cases. A credible operational open baseline (AIFS-ENS) now exists to benchmark against for free.
- Next
- Run a head-to-head shadow trial of EPT-2 vs an open baseline (ECMWF AIFS-ENS, now operational since 1 Jul 2025, and/or GraphCast) on the exact variables and lead times we need, scoring extreme-event days separately; treat all vendor RMSE/CRPS numbers as a hypothesis to verify.
Constraints
Blockers
No named blocker is present in the current public projection.
Evidence summary
Derived counts
AI-assisted assembly
- Total
- 7
- Tier 1
- 5
- Tier 2
- 1
- Tier 3
- 1
- Supports
- 4
- Contradicts
- 2
- Context
- 1
- Latest observed
- 2026-01-01
Counts and dates only. Raw signals, private excerpts, trust records, and internal corpus material are not published here.
Publication record
Revisions
Initial public reading
This is the initial public reading. No earlier readiness change is recorded.