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Verification register Frontier Hardware & Quantum

Readiness verdict

IBM Quantum Loon

A dated reading of what is claimed, reported, and independently verified in the current evidence.

As of
2026-08-20
Revision
1
Method
v1.3.0

Current reading

Readiness band and full integer triple

AI-assisted assembly · derived results

Readiness band

Emerging

Primary summary from verified readiness

Confidence
92% · stale
Computed at
2026-08-20T10:54:49.691603+00:00
Claimed
35

Public ambition and stated capability

Reported
35

Observed practitioner reporting

Verified
33

Independently supported evidence

Gap
+2

Claimed leads verified

Evidence strength Strong

Decision

What the current evidence supports

Human editorial judgment · 2026-08-20

Too early to adopt

Why
Loon is a proof-of-concept that derisks IBM's 2029 path; it has genuine technical firsts but zero direct adoptability today and a multi-year horizon to value.
Next
Treat as a roadmap-credibility signal only; re-evaluate when IBM demonstrates a below-threshold logical qubit on the bicycle code in on-chip hardware (Kookaburra milestone, not Loon itself).

Constraints

Blockers

No named blocker is present in the current public projection.

Evidence summary

Derived counts

AI-assisted assembly

Total
11
Tier 1
8
Tier 2
1
Tier 3
2
Supports
5
Contradicts
1
Context
5
Latest observed
2026-01-01

Counts and dates only. Raw signals, private excerpts, trust records, and internal corpus material are not published here.

Publication record

Revisions

Initial public reading

  1. 2026-07-19 Reading moved from emerging to emerging.

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