Verification register Frontier Hardware & Quantum
Current reading
The readiness gap, in one scan
AI-assisted assembly · derived results
- Claimed
- 35
- Reported
- 35
- Verified
- 33
- Gap
- +2
Public ambition and stated capability
Observed practitioner reporting
Independently supported evidence
Claimed minus verified
Evidence strength Strong
Decision
What the current evidence supports
Human editorial judgment · 2026-06-28
Too early to adopt
- Why
- Loon is a proof-of-concept that derisks IBM's 2029 path; it has genuine technical firsts but zero direct adoptability today and a multi-year horizon to value.
- Next
- Treat as a roadmap-credibility signal only; re-evaluate when IBM demonstrates a below-threshold logical qubit on the bicycle code in on-chip hardware (Kookaburra milestone, not Loon itself).
Constraints
Blockers
No named blocker is present in the current public projection.
Evidence summary
Derived counts
AI-assisted assembly
- Total
- 7
- Tier 1
- 5
- Tier 2
- 1
- Tier 3
- 1
- Supports
- 3
- Contradicts
- 1
- Context
- 3
- Latest observed
- 2026-01-01
Counts and dates only. Raw signals, private excerpts, trust records, and internal corpus material are not published here.
Publication record
Revisions
Initial public reading
This is the initial public reading. No earlier readiness change is recorded.