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Verification register Energy, Climate, Space & Materials

Readiness verdict

GenCast

A dated reading of what is claimed, reported, and independently verified in the current evidence.

As of
2026-08-20
Revision
12
Method
v1.3.0

Current reading

Readiness band and full integer triple

AI-assisted assembly · derived results

Readiness band

Watch

Primary summary from verified readiness

Confidence
61% · stale
Computed at
2026-08-20T10:52:16.907712+00:00
Claimed
75

Public ambition and stated capability

Reported
68

Observed practitioner reporting

Verified
58

Independently supported evidence

Gap
+17

Claimed leads verified

Evidence strength Strong

Decision

What the current evidence supports

Human editorial judgment · 2026-08-20

Adopt with guardrails

Why
Peer-reviewed SOTA accuracy and open weights make it usable now for internal risk analytics, but the non-commercial license and pre-operational status cap how far it can be embedded in a commercial product.
Next
Pilot the open 1.0-degree GenCast weights for extreme-event risk screening in a non-commercial research context; track licensing terms before any productized use.

Constraints

Blockers

No named blocker is present in the current public projection.

Evidence summary

Derived counts

AI-assisted assembly

Total
11
Tier 1
0
Tier 2
3
Tier 3
8
Supports
5
Contradicts
6
Context
0
Latest observed
2025-02-25

Counts and dates only. Raw signals, private excerpts, trust records, and internal corpus material are not published here.

Publication record

Revisions

Revision 12

  1. 2026-07-19 Reading moved from ready to ready.
  2. 2026-07-21 Reading moved from ready to watch.
  3. 2026-07-22 Reading moved from ready to watch.
  4. 2026-07-23 Reading moved from ready to watch.
  5. 2026-07-23 Reading moved from ready to watch.
  6. 2026-07-23 Reading moved from ready to watch.
  7. 2026-07-27 Reading moved from ready to watch.
  8. 2026-07-30 Reading moved from ready to watch.
  9. 2026-08-05 Reading moved from ready to watch.
  10. 2026-08-10 Reading moved from ready to watch.
  11. 2026-08-17 Reading moved from ready to watch.
  12. 2026-08-20 Reading moved from ready to watch.

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