Verification register Energy, Climate, Space & Materials
Current reading
The readiness gap, in one scan
AI-assisted assembly · derived results
- Claimed
- 82
- Reported
- 82
- Verified
- 82
- Gap
- 0
Public ambition and stated capability
Observed practitioner reporting
Independently supported evidence
Claimed minus verified
Evidence strength Critical
Decision
What the current evidence supports
Human editorial judgment · 2026-06-28
Adopt with guardrails
- Why
- Most mature next-gen geothermal asset: real non-recourse debt ($421M), fully contracted offtake (SCE/Shell), record drilling-cost reductions (70% YoY) and flow triple Project Red; Q1 2026 results show all Phase I wells complete and a GeoBlock at mechanical completion — but headline productivity rests on a single test and grid power is not yet flowing
- Next
- Track Phase I first-power (Q4 2026 COD) and the ramp via GeoBlocks 2-3 (Q1 2027) as the proof point before treating 500 MW scale-up as bankable; verify sustained multi-well flow vs single-test figures and the new Gen 3.0 lateral performance
Constraints
Blockers
No named blocker is present in the current public projection.
Evidence summary
Derived counts
AI-assisted assembly
- Total
- 7
- Tier 1
- 0
- Tier 2
- 3
- Tier 3
- 4
- Supports
- 5
- Contradicts
- 0
- Context
- 2
- Latest observed
- 2026-06-22
Counts and dates only. Raw signals, private excerpts, trust records, and internal corpus material are not published here.
Publication record
Revisions
Initial public reading
This is the initial public reading. No earlier readiness change is recorded.