Verification register Energy, Climate, Space & Materials
Current reading
Readiness band and full integer triple
AI-assisted assembly · derived results
Readiness band
Mature
Primary summary from verified readiness
- Confidence
- 89% · stale
- Computed at
- 2026-09-22T23:27:14.984527+00:00
- Claimed
- 82
- Reported
- 82
- Verified
- 82
- Gap
- 0
Public ambition and stated capability
Observed practitioner reporting
Independently supported evidence
Claimed and verified align
Evidence strength Critical
Decision
What the current evidence supports
Human editorial judgment · 2026-09-22
Adopt with guardrails
- Why
- Most mature next-gen geothermal asset: real non-recourse debt ($421M), fully contracted offtake (SCE/Shell), record drilling-cost reductions (70% YoY) and flow triple Project Red; Q1 2026 results show all Phase I wells complete and a GeoBlock at mechanical completion — but headline productivity rests on a single test and grid power is not yet flowing
- Next
- Track Phase I first-power (Q4 2026 COD) and the ramp via GeoBlocks 2-3 (Q1 2027) as the proof point before treating 500 MW scale-up as bankable; verify sustained multi-well flow vs single-test figures and the new Gen 3.0 lateral performance
Constraints
Blockers
No named blocker is present in the current public projection.
Evidence summary
Derived counts
AI-assisted assembly
- Total
- 7
- Tier 1
- 4
- Tier 2
- 3
- Tier 3
- 0
- Supports
- 5
- Contradicts
- 0
- Context
- 2
- Latest observed
- 2026-06-22
Counts and dates only. Raw signals, private excerpts, trust records, and internal corpus material are not published here.
Publication record
Revisions
Revision 2
- 2026-07-19 Reading moved from mature to mature.
- 2026-09-22 Reading moved from mature to mature.