Verification register Energy, Climate, Space & Materials
Current reading
Readiness band and full integer triple
AI-assisted assembly · derived results
Readiness band
Watch
Primary summary from verified readiness
- Confidence
- 66% · stale
- Computed at
- 2026-09-22T23:27:14.984527+00:00
- Claimed
- 70
- Reported
- 61
- Verified
- 52
- Gap
- +18
Public ambition and stated capability
Observed practitioner reporting
Independently supported evidence
Claimed leads verified
Evidence strength Strong
Decision
What the current evidence supports
Human editorial judgment · 2026-09-22
Proceed with caution
- Why
- A real world-first: closed-loop geothermal delivering grid power with strong drilling-learning gains and model-matched performance (within 0.5%) — but it produces only ~0.5 MW so far, ran 2+ years vs ~107 days planned, leans on heavy subsidy, and full-capacity plus long-term economics are unproven
- Next
- Track the ramp from ~0.5 MW toward full 64 MWth / ~8.2 MWe (second loop from March 2026) and the first unsubsidized cost figures; watch whether the per-pair drilling-time gains (54.5 to 16.5 days/lateral pair) hold on a greenfield site without grant support
Constraints
Blockers
No named blocker is present in the current public projection.
Evidence summary
Derived counts
AI-assisted assembly
- Total
- 6
- Tier 1
- 2
- Tier 2
- 4
- Tier 3
- 0
- Supports
- 2
- Contradicts
- 3
- Context
- 1
- Latest observed
- 2026-01-01
Counts and dates only. Raw signals, private excerpts, trust records, and internal corpus material are not published here.
Publication record
Revisions
Revision 2
- 2026-07-19 Reading moved from watch to watch.
- 2026-09-22 Reading moved from watch to watch.