Verification register Energy, Climate, Space & Materials
Current reading
The readiness gap, in one scan
AI-assisted assembly · derived results
- Claimed
- 70
- Reported
- 61
- Verified
- 52
- Gap
- +18
Public ambition and stated capability
Observed practitioner reporting
Independently supported evidence
Claimed minus verified
Evidence strength Strong
Decision
What the current evidence supports
Human editorial judgment · 2026-06-28
Proceed with caution
- Why
- A real world-first: closed-loop geothermal delivering grid power with strong drilling-learning gains and model-matched performance (within 0.5%) — but it produces only ~0.5 MW so far, ran 2+ years vs ~107 days planned, leans on heavy subsidy, and full-capacity plus long-term economics are unproven
- Next
- Track the ramp from ~0.5 MW toward full 64 MWth / ~8.2 MWe (second loop from March 2026) and the first unsubsidized cost figures; watch whether the per-pair drilling-time gains (54.5 to 16.5 days/lateral pair) hold on a greenfield site without grant support
Constraints
Blockers
No named blocker is present in the current public projection.
Evidence summary
Derived counts
AI-assisted assembly
- Total
- 6
- Tier 1
- 0
- Tier 2
- 4
- Tier 3
- 2
- Supports
- 2
- Contradicts
- 3
- Context
- 1
- Latest observed
- 2026-01-01
Counts and dates only. Raw signals, private excerpts, trust records, and internal corpus material are not published here.
Publication record
Revisions
Initial public reading
This is the initial public reading. No earlier readiness change is recorded.