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Verification register Energy, Climate, Space & Materials

Readiness verdict

Chang'e 6 — First Lunar Far-Side Sample Return

A dated reading of what is claimed, reported, and independently verified in the current evidence.

As of
2026-07-23
Revision
1
Method
v1.3.0

Current reading

Readiness band and full integer triple

AI-assisted assembly · derived results

Readiness band

Mature

Primary summary from verified readiness

Confidence
72% · fresh
Computed at
2026-07-23T19:13:08.72729+00:00
Claimed
100

Public ambition and stated capability

Reported
99

Observed practitioner reporting

Verified
93

Independently supported evidence

Gap
+7

Claimed leads verified

Evidence strength Growing

Decision

What the current evidence supports

Human editorial judgment · 2026-07-23

Track; not yet

Why
The mission's scientific payoff is already fully realized and published (peer-reviewed Nature dating results), but as a 'capability' for the register it is a singular historic event gated by U.S. export-control friction and a still-unflown follow-on program, not yet an open or repeatable platform.
Next
Monitor Chang'e 7 (H2 2026 launch) and Chang'e 8 / International Lunar Research Station milestones; revisit once a recurring far-side or polar sample/landing cadence is demonstrated or sample-access policy for non-Chinese researchers loosens.

Constraints

Blockers

No named blocker is present in the current public projection.

Evidence summary

Derived counts

AI-assisted assembly

Total
6
Tier 1
0
Tier 2
5
Tier 3
1
Supports
4
Contradicts
1
Context
1
Latest observed
2026-07-14

Counts and dates only. Raw signals, private excerpts, trust records, and internal corpus material are not published here.

Publication record

Revisions

Initial public reading

  1. 2026-07-23 Reading moved from mature to mature.

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